| Paper No. 225-5 | ||
| Presentation Time: 3:05 PM-3:25 PM | ||
| PALEOFLOOD DATA: INTEGRATION WITH FLOOD-FREQUENCY ANALYSES | ||
|
JARRETT, Robert, National Research Program, WRD, U.S. Geol Survey, P.O. Box 25046, MS412, Lakewood, CO 80225, rjarrett@usgs.gov. There is an urgent need to improve flood-frequency estimation methods for floodplain management, dam safety, human impact, climate change, and numerous related environmental disciplines (NRC, 1988, 1999; Swain and Jarrett, 2000; Jones et al., 2001; Levish, 2001). Worldwide, floods are the most destructive events related to meteorological processes. Probabilitistic hazard-estimation requires extrapolation well beyond our limited gage data for floods with annual exceedance probabilities in the range of 10-2 to 10-4. Poor understanding of flood frequency contributes to unnecessary loss of life and increased flood damages, and conversely, can lead to costly overdesign of infrastructure located on floodplains, and questionable flood-frequency estimates for other situations (Jarrett and Tomlinson, 2000). Effective design of flood risk management plans and environmental science projects require an improved estimate of flood risk (NRC, 1999). The need to develop more accurate, efficient, and robust flood-frequency estimates requires an improved understanding of the physical processes involved and augmenting the observational record by incorporating historical flood and paleoflood data. This paper provides an overview of recent paleoflood research, including the integration of historical flood and paleoflood data into flood-frequency analyses for several water-resources applications. In addition, insights gained from paleoflood studies on human impact, climate change, and non-stationary hydrology will be presented. | ||
|
2002 Denver Annual Meeting (October 27-30, 2002)
| ||
| Session No. 225 Flood Hazard on Dynamic Rivers: Human Modification, Climate Change, and the Challenge of Non-Stationary Hydrology Colorado Convention Center: Ballroom 2&3 1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, October 30, 2002 | ||
© Copyright 2002 The Geological Society of America (GSA), all rights reserved. Permission is hereby granted to the author(s) of this abstract to reproduce and distribute it freely, for noncommercial purposes. Permission is hereby granted to any individual scientist to download a single copy of this electronic file and reproduce up to 20 paper copies for noncommercial purposes advancing science and education, including classroom use, providing all reproductions include the complete content shown here, including the author information. All other forms of reproduction and/or transmittal are prohibited without written permission from GSA Copyright Permissions. | ||