2003 Seattle Annual Meeting (November 2–5, 2003)
Session No. 9 Sunday, November 2, 2003
8:00 AM-12:00 PM, Washington State Convention and Trade Center: 4C-3

T4. Mathematical Modeling of Earth Surface Processes: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

Robert S. Young and Orrin H. Pilkey, Presiding
 Paper #Start Time
9-18:00 AM MODELS ON TRIAL: A CASE STUDY: YOUNG, Robert S., Department of Geosciences and NRM, Western Carolina Univ, Cullowhee, NC 28723, ryoung@wcu.edu.
9-28:15 AM THE SEMIOTIC CRITIQUE OF EARTH-SURFACE PROCESS MODELING: BAKER, Victor R., Hydrology and Water Resources, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721-0011, baker@hwr.arizona.edu.
9-38:30 AM MODELING AND PREDICTING HUMAN IMPACT ON LANDSCAPE: HAFF, Peter K., Division of Earth/Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke University, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708, haff@duke.edu.
9-48:45 AM WHY MODELING? ON THE SOCIETAL VALUE OF PREDICTIONS WITH GREAT UNCERTAINTY: ROJSTACZER, Stuart, Duke Univ, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708, stuart@duke.edu.
9-59:00 AM PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENTS OF GEOLOGIC REPOSITORIES FOR HIGH-LEVEL NUCLEAR WASTE: ARE THEY NECESSARY OR SUFFICIENT?: EWING, Rodney C., Department of Geological Sciences, Univ of Michigan, 425 E. University Ave, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1063, rodewing@umich.edu.
9-69:15 AM HYDROGEOLOGIC AND WATER QUALITY PREDICTIVE MODELS AS POLITICAL RATHER THAN TECHNICAL TOOLS: MORAN, Robert E., Independent Hydrogeologic Consultant, Golden, CO 80401, remoran@aol.com.
9-79:30 AM COMPARING MODELS TO DATA FOR NATURAL HAZARDS: TURCOTTE, Donald L., Department of Geology, University of California, Davis, CA 95616-8605, turcotte@geology.ucdavis.edu and MALAMUD, Bruce D., Environmental Monitoring and Modelling Research Group, Department of Geography, King's College London, Strand, London, WC2R 2LS, United Kingdom
9-89:45 AM ANALYSIS AND SIMULATION OF COLLOID DISPERSION WITH NEURAL NETWORKS: SASSEN, Douglas S., The Department of Geology and Geophysics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3115, dsassen@geo.tamu.edu.
 10:00 AM Discussion
9-910:15 AM BEYOND THE “SHOCK AND AWE”- A CRITICAL REVIEW OF THE SBEACH MODEL: TREMBANIS, Arthur C., Physical Science, Virginia Institute of Marine Sci, 212 Franklin Hall, Gloucester Point, VA 23062, art@vims.edu.
9-1010:30 AM COASTAL SEDIMENT BUDGETS AND THE ROLE OF THE INNER CONTINENTAL SHELF: THIELER, E. Robert, US Geol Survey, 384 Woods Hole Rd, Woods Hole, MA 02543, rthieler@usgs.gov and SCHWAB, William C., Coastal and Marine Geology Team, U.S. Geol Survey, 384 Woods Hole Road, Woods Hole, MA 02543
9-1110:45 AM NUMERICAL MODELING: DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR DIFFERENT GOALS: MURRAY, A. Brad, Div. of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke Univ, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708-0230, abmurray@duke.edu.
9-1211:00 AM APPLIED MODELING OF COASTAL PROCESSES: EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVES: COOPER, J. Andrew G., Coastal Studies Research Group, Univ of Ulster, Cromore Road, Coleraine BT52 1SA United Kingdom, jag.cooper@ulster.ac.uk.
9-1311:15 AM APPLYING COST-SENSITIVE MODELS TO PREDICTING GEOLOGIC PROCESSES: A COMPARISON OF MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES AND LINEAR STATISTICS: MORET, Stephanie L.1, MARGINEANTU, Dragos2, and LANGFORD, Bill T.2, (1) Civil Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, stephanie.moret@orst.edu, (2) Dept of Computer Science, Oregon State Univ, Corvallis, OR 97331
9-1411:30 AM BOUNDED CAUSALITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR LANDSCAPE MODELING AND PREDICTION: WERNER, B.T., Complex Systems Laboratory, Cecil and Ida Green Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California - San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0225, bwerner@ucsd.edu.
9-1511:45 AM THE HUMAN BIAS IN EARTH SURFACE PROCESS MODELING: LESSONS FROM THE SEARCH FOR WMD: PILKEY, Orrin H., Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke Univ, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Durham, NC 27708, opilkey@duke.edu and PILKEY-JARVIS, Linda, Department of Ecology, P.O. Box 47600, Olympia, WA 98504

Back to the 2003 Seattle Annual Meeting (November 2–5, 2003)