PRELUDE TO SNOWBALL EARTH
In the Otavi Group of northwestern Namibia, a well documented pre-glacial excursion occurs in the Ombaatjie Fm. (below the Ghaub diamictite): d13C drops ca. + 6 to 8 to -5 to 7 per mil over a span of 30-40 m of section, after which it recovers to -2 to -3 per mil immediately below the sub-glacial surface. A very similar trend (but of slightly less magnitude) occurs in the Elbobreen Fm., below the older of two glacial deposits in the Polarisbreen group of northeastern Svalbard. In the Adelaide Fold-Thrust Belt in South Australia, d13C declines by 15 per mil through the Enorama and Trezona formations before recovering to ca. -3 per mil below the glacigenic Elatina Formation (McKirdy et al., 2001).
Documentation of this isotopic trend in three separate basins challenges the popular hypothesis that Neoproterozoic glaciations resulted from the drawdown of atmospheric CO2 by a period of extensive organic carbon burial (as signaled by highly 13C-enriched interglacial carbonates). We propose that the pre-glacial d13C profile, which is analogous to but of greater magnitude and probably longer time scale than that spanning the Paleocene/Eocene boundary, is best explained by a protracted methane release. Global warming, which would result from an increase in greenhouse forcing, at first appears counterintuitive in light of impending glaciation. However, if the methane release persisted over a sufficient time scale for silicate weathering to respond, then atmospheric CO2 would be drawn down, leaving the earth vulnerable to a greenhouse gas crisis if the methane flux ceased.