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2003 Seattle Annual Meeting (November 2–5, 2003)

Session No. 9
Sunday, 2 November 2003: 8:00 AM-12:00 PM

T4. Mathematical Modeling of Earth Surface Processes: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

 

Robert S. Young and Orrin H. Pilkey, Advocates
Paper #
Start Time
1
8:00 AM
MODELS ON TRIAL: A CASE STUDY
YOUNG, Robert S., Department of Geosciences and NRM, Western Carolina Univ, Cullowhee, NC 28723, ryoung@wcu.edu, ryoung@wcu.edu
2
8:15 AM
THE SEMIOTIC CRITIQUE OF EARTH-SURFACE PROCESS MODELING
BAKER, Victor R., Hydrology and Water Resources, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721-0011, baker@hwr.arizona.edu, baker@hwr.arizona.edu
3
8:30 AM
MODELING AND PREDICTING HUMAN IMPACT ON LANDSCAPE
HAFF, Peter K., Division of Earth/Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke University, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708, haff@duke.edu, haff@duke.edu
4
8:45 AM
WHY MODELING? ON THE SOCIETAL VALUE OF PREDICTIONS WITH GREAT UNCERTAINTY
ROJSTACZER, Stuart, Duke Univ, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708, stuart@duke.edu, stuart@duke.edu
5
9:00 AM
PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENTS OF GEOLOGIC REPOSITORIES FOR HIGH-LEVEL NUCLEAR WASTE: ARE THEY NECESSARY OR SUFFICIENT?
EWING, Rodney C., Department of Geological Sciences, Univ of Michigan, 425 E. University Ave, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1063, rodewing@umich.edu, rodewing@umich.edu
6
9:15 AM
HYDROGEOLOGIC AND WATER QUALITY PREDICTIVE MODELS AS POLITICAL RATHER THAN TECHNICAL TOOLS
MORAN, Robert E., Independent Hydrogeologic Consultant, Golden, CO 80401, remoran@aol.com, remoran@aol.com
7
9:30 AM
COMPARING MODELS TO DATA FOR NATURAL HAZARDS
TURCOTTE, Donald L., Department of Geology, University of California, Davis, 1 Shields Avenue, 174 Physics/Geology Building, Davis, CA 95616 and MALAMUD, Bruce D., Environmental Monitoring and Modelling Research Group, Department of Geography, King's College London, Strand, London, WC2R 2LS, United Kingdom, turcotte@geology.ucdavis.edu, turcotte@geology.ucdavis.edu
8
9:45 AM
ANALYSIS AND SIMULATION OF COLLOID DISPERSION WITH NEURAL NETWORKS
SASSEN, Douglas S., The Department of Geology and Geophysics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3115, dsassen@geo.tamu.edu, dsassen@geo.tamu.edu
 
10:00 AM
Discussion
9
10:15 AM
BEYOND THE “SHOCK AND AWE”- A CRITICAL REVIEW OF THE SBEACH MODEL
TREMBANIS, Arthur C., Physical Science, Virginia Institute of Marine Sci, 212 Franklin Hall, Gloucester Point, VA 23062, art@vims.edu, art@vims.edu
10
10:30 AM
COASTAL SEDIMENT BUDGETS AND THE ROLE OF THE INNER CONTINENTAL SHELF
THIELER, E. Robert, US Geol Survey, 384 Woods Hole Rd, Woods Hole, MA 02543 and SCHWAB, William C., Coastal and Marine Geology Team, U.S. Geol Survey, 384 Woods Hole Road, Woods Hole, MA 02543, rthieler@usgs.gov, rthieler@usgs.gov
11
10:45 AM
NUMERICAL MODELING: DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR DIFFERENT GOALS
MURRAY, A. Brad, Div. of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke Univ, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708-0230, abmurray@duke.edu, abmurray@duke.edu
12
11:00 AM
APPLIED MODELING OF COASTAL PROCESSES: EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVES
COOPER, J. Andrew G., Coastal Studies Research Group, Univ of Ulster, Cromore Road, Coleraine, BT52 1SA, United Kingdom, jag.cooper@ulster.ac.uk, jag.cooper@ulster.ac.uk
13
11:15 AM
APPLYING COST-SENSITIVE MODELS TO PREDICTING GEOLOGIC PROCESSES: A COMPARISON OF MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES AND LINEAR STATISTICS
MORET, Stephanie L.1, MARGINEANTU, Dragos2 and LANGFORD, Bill T.2, (1)Civil Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, (2)Dept of Computer Science, Oregon State Univ, Corvallis, OR 97331, stephanie.moret@orst.edu, stephanie.moret@orst.edu
14
11:30 AM
BOUNDED CAUSALITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR LANDSCAPE MODELING AND PREDICTION
WERNER, B.T., Complex Systems Laboratory, Cecil and Ida Green Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California - San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0225, bwerner@ucsd.edu, bwerner@ucsd.edu
15
11:45 AM
THE HUMAN BIAS IN EARTH SURFACE PROCESS MODELING: LESSONS FROM THE SEARCH FOR WMD
PILKEY, Orrin H., Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke Univ, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Durham, NC 27708 and PILKEY-JARVIS, Linda, Department of Ecology, P.O. Box 47600, Olympia, WA 98504, opilkey@duke.edu, opilkey@duke.edu
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