HOLOCENE CHANGES IN CAROLINA BAYS
Carolina bays are shallow, oval, oriented basins; many have distinctive sand rims. Most of the basins contain wetlands. Their organic sediments typically yield Holocene or late Pleistocene basal dates, although OSL dates from bay rims indicate much greater age. We infer that these basal dates reflect significant changes in environmental conditions. Modern records from the Savannah River Site (SRS) in South Carolina indicate that preservation of organic material requires inundation >50% of the year.
Radiocarbon dates from two wetlands on the SRS suggest that the modern hydrologic regimes were established recently, but that the transitions to moist, low energy conditions began in the mid-Holocene. At Flamingo Bay, the deepest part of the basin has been paludified since ~4,500 radiocarbon yr B.P., with significant expansions at ~3,100 and ~300-230 radiocarbon yr B.P. Modern precipitation averages 120 cm annually. A hydrologic model, based on a 20-yr hydrograph for the bay, suggests a prolonged episode of ~100 cm annual precipitation prior to the latest transition. Prior to the mid-Holocene date, precipitation may have been <80 cm annually.
Plant and animal communities, as well as human use, respond strongly to hydrologic conditions in the wetlands. For example, we estimate that marbled salamanders can currently breed in ~80 of 371 Carolina bays and other isolated wetlands on the SRS. A return to the drier conditions that may have prevailed prior to the mid-Holocene would reduce significantly this number; moister conditions predicted by a global warming scenario would greatly increase it.