SEAGRASS ABUNDANCE OF FLORIDA BAY, USING FORAMINIFERA AS A PROXY
Two hundred samples from six sediment cores from across the Bay were dated with 210Pb and 14C methods, and the percentages of seagrass-associated foraminifera (PSAF) assessed. To test whether PSAF indicates general seagrass abundance, we compared its 1970-2001 record to the timing of Florida Bay’s 1987-1994 great seagrass dieoff that caused sediment resuspension, decline of water clarity, phytoplankton blooms, a sponge die-off and declines in fishery harvests. All cores had lows around 1984-1994 (±2 yr), after which 4 of 5 showed increases, indicating a satisfactory correspondence between PSAF and seagrass abundance.
PSAF was studied at two time scales: from 1880-2001 (±5 yr) it was compared to known anthropogenic and environmental events; and for the last 4 ka (since Florida Bay’s origin) general patterns were examined. From 1910 to 1920, when a railroad was built that reduced water exchange, PSAF decreased in the central bay. The largest change, ca. 1940 and seen in 5 of 6 cores, corresponds to a multi-year drought and hypersalinity; a 1950s drop in PSAF agrees with another drought/hypersalinity. A decrease in PSAF from ca. 1965-1975 to ca. 1985, just before the great seagrass dieoff, occurs in 5 of 6 cores and may be related to the anthropogenic alteration of freshwater input from the Everglades. Over the last 4 millenia, seagrass abundance fluctuated with amplitudes as great as the last 100 years, but generally increased until the large ca. 1940 drop. Overall, seagrass abundance/water quality was apparently little affected by the initiation of agriculture (ca. 1905), was greatly affected by multiyear droughts, gradually decreased after ca. 1965-1975 (presumably a result of construction of canals and water retention areas), and has remained at relatively low levels since the 1987-1994 seagrass dieoff.