Session: Multi-Scale Modeling of Riverine Ecosystems and Responses of Fish Populations in the Context of Global Climate Change and Predictive Uncertainty (The 3rd USGS Modeling Conference (7-11 June 2010))

Session No. 13

Wednesday, 9 June 2010: 8:00 AM-12:00 PM

Interlocken C (Omni Hotel and Resort)

Multi-Scale Modeling of Riverine Ecosystems and Responses of Fish Populations in the Context of Global Climate Change and Predictive Uncertainty

Mark L. Wildhaber, Chair

Paper #

Start Time

8:00 AM

MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMS AND RESPONSES OF FISH POPULATIONS IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND PREDICTIVE UNCERTAINTY: INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW

WILDHABER, Mark L.¹, WIKLE, Christopher K.², ANDERSON, Christopher J.³, FRANZ, Kristie J.⁴ and HOLAN, Scott H.², (1)U.S. Geological Survey, Columbia Environmental Research Center, 4200 New Haven Road, Columbia, MO 65201, (2)Department of Statistics, University of Missouri--Columbia, 146 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, (3)Climate Science Initiative, Iowa State University, 3010 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, (4)Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, 3023 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, mwildhaber@usgs.gov, mwildhaber@usgs.gov

8:10 AM

DOWNSCALING FROM GLOBAL CLIMATE MODELS TO REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS FOR USE IN MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMS AND RESPONSES OF FISH POPULATIONS

ANDERSON, Christopher J.¹, WILDHABER, Mark L.², WIKLE, Christopher K.³, FRANZ, Kristie J.⁴ and HOLAN, Scott H.³, (1)Climate Science Initiative, Iowa State University, 3010 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, (2)Columbia Environmental Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 4200 New Haven Road, Columbia, MO 65201, (3)Department of Statistics, University of Missouri--Columbia, 146 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, (4)Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, 3023 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, cjames@iastate.edu, cjames@iastate.edu

8:30 AM

DOWNSCALING FROM REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS TO RIVER HYDRODYNAMICS FOR USE IN MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMS AND RESPONSES OF FISH POPULATIONS

FRANZ, Kristie J.¹, WILDHABER, Mark L.², WIKLE, Christopher K.³, ANDERSON, Christopher J.⁴ and HOLAN, Scott H.³, (1)Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, 3023 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, (2)Columbia Environmental Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 4200 New Haven Road, Columbia, MO 65201, (3)Department of Statistics, University of Missouri--Columbia, 146 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, (4)Climate Science Initiative, Iowa State University, 3010 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, kfranz@iastate.edu, kfranz@iastate.edu

8:50 AM

TRANSLATING RIVER HYDRODYNAMICS IN TO FISH POPULATION RESPONSES FOR USE IN MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMS

WILDHABER, Mark L.¹, WIKLE, Christopher K.², ANDERSON, Christopher J.³, FRANZ, Kristie J.⁴ and HOLAN, Scott H.², (1)Columbia Environmental Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 4200 New Haven Road, Columbia, MO 65201, (2)Department of Statistics, University of Missouri--Columbia, 146 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, (3)Climate Science Initiative, Iowa State University, 3010 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, (4)Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, 3023 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, mwildhaber@usgs.gov, mwildhaber@usgs.gov

9:10 AM

BAYESIAN MARK-RECAPTURE MODELS FOR FISH SURVIVAL AND POPULATION ESTIMATION FOR USE IN MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMS AND RESPONSES OF FISH POPULATIONS

HOLAN, Scott H.¹, WILDHABER, Mark L.², WIKLE, Christopher K.¹, ANDERSON, Christopher J.³ and FRANZ, Kristie J.⁴, (1)Department of Statistics, University of Missouri--Columbia, 146 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, (2)Columbia Environmental Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 4200 New Haven Road, Columbia, MO 65201, (3)Climate Science Initiative, Iowa State University, 3010 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, (4)Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, 3023 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, holans@missouri.edu, holans@missouri.edu

9:30 AM

Break

9:45 AM

A HIERACHICAL APPROACH TO QUANTIFY UNCERTAINTY IN MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMS AND RESPONSES OF FISH POPULATIONS

WIKLE, Christopher K.¹, WILDHABER, Mark L.², ANDERSON, Christopher J.³, FRANZ, Kristie J.⁴ and HOLAN, Scott H.¹, (1)Department of Statistics, University of Missouri--Columbia, 146 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, (2)Columbia Environmental Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 4200 New Haven Road, Columbia, MO 65201, (3)Climate Science Initiative, Iowa State University, 3010 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, (4)Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University, 3023 Agronomy Hall, Ames, IA 50011, wiklec@missouri.edu, wiklec@missouri.edu

10:15 AM

USING U.S. EPA BASINS MODELING SYSTEM FOR LINKING HYDROLOGIC MODELS WITH AN ECOLOGICAL MODEL FOR AQUATIC ENDPOINT IMPACT ASSESSMENTS

IMHOFF, John C.¹, HUMMEL, Paul R.¹, DONIGIAN Jr, Anthony S.¹ and PARK, Richard A.², (1)AQUA TERRA Consultants, 2685 Marine Way, Suite 1314, Mountain View, CA 94043, (2)Eco Modeling, 5522 Alakoko Place, Diamondhead, MS 39525, jcimhoff@aquaterra.com, jcimhoff@aquaterra.com

10:35 AM

USING A BAYESIAN NETWORK APPROACH TO MODEL THE SYSTEM OF EFFECTS OF URBANIZATION ON AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS

KASHUBA, Roxolana¹, QIAN, Song¹, CUFFNEY, Thomas F.², MCMAHON, Gerard³ and RECKHOW, Kenneth H.¹, (1)Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, (2)North Carolina Water Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 3916 Sunset Ridge Road, Raleigh, NC 27607, (3)USGS, North Carolina Water Science Center, 3916 Sunset Ridge Rd, Raleigh, NC 27607, roxolana.kashuba@duke.edu, roxolana.kashuba@duke.edu

10:55 AM

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE BIOENERGETICS OF JUVENILE SALMONIDS AND THE AQUATIC ECOSYSTEM OF THE YAKIMA RIVER BASIN

HARDIMAN, Jill M.¹, MAULE, Alec G.¹, MESA, Matt G.¹, HATTEN, James R.¹, MASTIN, Mark C.² and VOSS, Frank D.², (1)U. S. Geological Survey, Western Fisheries Research Center, Columbia River Research Laboratory, 5501a Cook Underwood Rd, Cook, WA 98605, (2)U. S. Geological Survey, Washington Water Science Center, 943 Broadway, Suite 300, Tacoma, WA 98402, jhardiman@usgs.gov, jhardiman@usgs.gov

11:15 AM

Panel Discussion

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