FLUVIAL SYSTEM RESPONSE TO GROWTH OF THE BOLIVIAN ANDES
A regional climate model with rising surface elevations shows that near present-day patterns of mean orographic rainfall only become triggered once the topography grows to >75% modern elevations. A geo-thermochronology dataset that quantifies the spatiotemporal patterns of deformation and erosional exhumation suggests this establishment of near-modern orography occurred ~15-11 Ma. In the semiarid south, channels possess low concavities, and exhibit non-systematic downstream changes in steepness at multiple scales. The steepness patterns mostly correlate with the tectonic architecture of the deforming thrust belt. In the wet north, channels possess high concavities and mostly decrease in steepness systematically downstream.
These observations suggest several generalizations about the coevolution of topography, climate, and mountain river systems. (1) Small, threshold changes in surface elevation can cause large changes in orographic precipitation gradients. (2) Low magnitudes (<2 m/yr) and gradients (<Δ~1.5 m/yr) in rainfall means that thrust belt tectonics will continue to exhibit a dominant influence on channel steepness patterns even after ~10 million years. (3) Over ~10 million years of large magnitudes (>2 m/yr) and gradients (>Δ3-4 m/yr) in mean rainfall causes fluvial systems to exhibit only muted, non-systematic changes in steepness influenced by thrust belt tectonics. These insights provide quantitative hypotheses for the values and timescales of orographic growth that are required to impart a dominantly climatic vs. tectonic influence on fluvial systems in active orogens that can be tested with landscape evolution models.