INSIGHT INTO PRE-INDUSTRIAL MULTI-DECADAL CLIMATE AND OCEANOGRAPHIC VARIABILITY FROM THE GEOCHEMISTRY OF A BAHAMIAN SCLEROSPONGE (Invited Presentation)
The results depict clear trends, including the 13C Suess Effect showing the input of light CO2 into the ocean from the burning of fossil fuel over the last 150 yrs. Further, the temperature reconstruction indicates a warming of ~2 °C over this same interval, comparable in amplitude and small-scale variability with published sclerosponge records from the Caribbean. The reconstructions from this specimen also reveal pronounced multi-decadal cyclicity, with paleo-salinity possessing a 20-30 yr periodicity, akin to the solar cycle, over the entirety of the record. From the mid-1700s to the 1990s, the dominant periodicity in the salinity switched to ~68 yrs, consistent with the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). High salinity is associated with warm phases of the AMO and vice versa, suggesting that SST and solar variability were communicated to the sclerosponge through changes in the source region of the Salinity Maximum Waters. This record validates previous studies that indicate transitions from inter- to multi-decadal periodicities in the 1700s and supports a natural origin for the AMO through the persistence of multi-decadal trends prior to the period of anthropogenic impact. The marked long-term and regional instabilities between this and other published records imply that modern changes may have significant impacts on these modes, emphasizing the need for continued collaboration between paleoclimate and modeling communities to improve future projections of Atlantic multi-decadal variability.