ASSESSING SCLEROCHRONOLOGICAL ESTIMATES OF SEASON-OF-CAPTURE FROM ARCHEOLOGICAL SHELL MIDDENS: MODELS AND OBSERVATIONS
To evaluate the magnitude of this bias, we modeled the growth of bivalves using a variety temperature models, and intra- and interannual growth models. Next, we sampled each modeled profile using one of two approaches. First, we sampled the entire profile with using contiguous samples. This process was repeated with progressively large distances between samples. Second, we sampled profiles stochastically within predefined window widths. This procedure was subsequently repeated with progressively wider windows. These two sampling procedures resulted in numerous hypothetical isotope profiles, each of which was time-averaged to a different degree. To determine SC, we used the last three δ18O samples from each profile. SC was determined using the following criteria: spring = negative slope; summer = V-shaped, autumn = positive slope; winter = inverted V-shape. Our results indicate that as age increases and sampling resolution decreases, the predicted SC is more likely to be incorrectly assigned, suggesting that sampling young ontogenetic specimens with high temporal resolution is likely to provide the best estimates of SC. Sampling of 25 Mercenaria mercenaria specimens, all harvested on the same day, supports this finding; accurate season of capture estimates were obtained from the youngest/smallest specimens. Our results are significant because ancient humans may collect larger specimens potentially biasing SC estimates from shell middens.