THE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE AS THE TRIGGER OF INTRAPLATE EARTHQUAKES IN A QUARTZ-RICH CRUST: A 2-STEP MODEL FOR INTRAPLATE EARTHQUAKES
For a gravitationally loaded rock mass, the horizontal stress is proportional to the vertical stress, and the proportionality constant, k=nu/(1-nu), is independent of depth (Terzaghi and Richart , 1952). Sheorey~(1994) developed a more general model and provided a simplified equation for estimating the ratio k. His value of k is constant below about 2 km but increases above 2 km.
It is suggested that the Aug 23, 2011, Virginia mainshock was triggered by a 2-step process: 1) first, pore- fluid pressure diffusion from normal groundwater recharge into a regionally widespread fracture (Mesozoic?) network channeled pore-fluid pressure diffusion to the future hypocenter where the cumulation of Biot slow waves from different surface sources and with different arrival times resulted in the increase of pore-fluid overpressure until the mainshock was triggered in an SOC crust at a depth of 8 km, and 2) aftershocks occurred upward from the mainshock to a depth of about 2 km, preferring to localize in the weaker and pervasive Mesozoic fabric. Implicit in this model is that the zone of aftershocks was neither permeable nor a major fault zone before the mainshock. Focal depths of the Virginia Aug 23 aftershock sequence were between 2 and 8 km (Horton et al., 2012), possibly restricted to the observed upper limit of 2 km by the increase in the in-situ horizontal crustal stress described by Sheorey's equation. If this 2-step model is correct it may explain why it has been difficult to correlate intraplate earthquakes with mapped faults.