EVALUATING THE DRIVING MECHANISMS FOR EARTH FISSURE AND PATTERNED GROUND FORMATION AT FORT IRWIN NATIONAL TRAINING CENTER, CALIFORNIA
A variety of methods were used to evaluate ground failure hazards in Bicycle Basin, including first-order leveling and other land surveys, satellite interferometric synthetic aperture radar analyses, geophysical surveys including electromagnetic induction imaging, water-level monitoring, and modeling of hydromechanical processes via continuum and discrete element method approaches. Integrating results allowed us to evaluate hypotheses for shallow versus deeper processes as the driving mechanisms for surface cracking. Our results indicate that both shallow and deeper processes are responsible for the observed ground failures. Shallow desiccation processes activated by playa inundation events with subsequent lake evaporation and volumetric shrinkage can lead to spectacularly large crack formation and macropolygon formation in the presence of regional, extensional tectonic stresses. Deeper processes with stresses driven by localized differential compaction from groundwater pumping are also necessary to explain the observations and appear to work synergistically with desiccation to accumulate stresses that lead to ground failure. Finally, we demonstrate that time-lapse electromagnetic induction imaging is effective for monitoring ground failure hazards, notably in areas where there are no visible indications of cracking or depressions at land surface.