ESTIMATING FAULT SLIP AND GEOMETRY FROM FLUVIAL TERRACES PROGRESSIVELY DEFORMED ABOVE CURVED FAULT BENDS: AN EXAMPLE FROM THE KYRGYZ TIEN SHAN
We have developed a new strategy for modeling deformation of terraces above curved fault bends that allows simultaneous estimation of the geometry of the underlying fault as well as the slip that occurred since the formation of each terrace in a progressively deformed flight. Uncertainties of relevant geometric parameters and slip magnitudes are inverted from surveyed terrace data using bounded nonlinear least squares.
We apply this method to analyzing a well-preserved flight of terraces folded above an active fault system in the Jumgal basin in the Kyrgyz Tien Shan. We find that the deformation of Neogene bedrock and fluvial terraces are consistent with a reverse fault system that ramps upward from a low-angle fault splay connected to the basin-bounding fault. Marked along-strike variation in the form of the fold can be explained by changes in the curvature of the fault ramp underlying the fold, with a trend toward more broadly curved bends to the west. Slip rates estimated from the modeled fault displacement suggest that the late Quaternary structural evolution of the basin is linked to the earlier history of basin partitioning in this portion of the Kyrgyz Tien Shan.