Paper No. 22-8
Presentation Time: 1:30 PM-5:30 PM
AN EXPANDED VIEW ON MID- TO LATE PLIOCENE WEST ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET DYNAMICS
The mid-Pliocene provides an analogue towards understanding the sensitivity and feedbacks associated with the Earth’s climate system under scenarios expected to occur in the near future (e.g., 2100). One of the largest uncertainties concerning both the climate of the mid-Pliocene, and future projections surrounds the response of the Antarctic ice sheet to a global climate system that exceeds a 2°C warming compared to pre-industrial values. This is particularly true for the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and marine based sectors of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS). Paleo-calibrated numerical ice sheet modelling studies suggest these regions may contribute up to 30-60 cm of global sea level rise (GSLR) by 2100: despite the sophisticated nature of these modeling studies, there is still a fundamental lack of understanding concerning the role of natural forcing factors on ice sheet dynamics such as the role of incoming solar radiation during periods of ice sheet advance and retreat. Established sedimentological techniques (e.g., grain size) have been used to develop a continuous and high-resolution record of mid- to Late Pliocene (3.3 to 2.5 Ma) ice sheet discharge events, in order to investigate the role of external periodic forcing, quasi-periodic millennial-scale forcing, and non-periodic processes on WAIS dynamics.