MILL-RELATED URANIUM IN THE UNSATURATED ZONE: LONG-TERM RELEASE AND WHAT TO DO NEXT
Uranium release rates in these secondary source areas were determined using laboratory column tests under saturated conditions that indicate uranium release rates follow an exponential decay curve. Field-scale infiltration tracer tests confirm the release of uranium from the unsaturated zone at concentrations well above groundwater standards. Using mass balance calculations, assumed recharge rates, and contaminant transport modeling, subsequent groundwater contamination can continue for hundreds to thousands of years. These estimates are highly uncertain, as actual unsaturated zone flow is dependent upon highly variable and unpredictable recharge conditions (e.g., flooding, large rain events, snowmelt, evapotranspiration, climate change, and so on). Regardless, these estimates indicate long time frames for release of uranium from the unsaturated zone.
With the recognition of uranium in the unsaturated zone as a long-term source and using initial estimates of release rates, site reactive transport models can simulate multiple scenarios to evaluate future site compliance strategy options. Such modeling has limitations that require mechanistic simplification. However, given the challenges with the time frames involved, modeling provides a first step in guiding future decision-making processes.